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Global Markets Face Uncertainties as Middle East Tensions Escalate

The recent escalation of tensions between Israel and Hamas has raised concerns about stability in the Middle East. This has put the focus on three key risks: oil, gas, and inflation.

NFP to end the 12 week dollar rally?

Yields and the USD are both in limbo since yesterday as markets brace for an important NFP.

WTI tumbles next stop $80

WTI crude oil took a tumble and broke below support at $85, but fundamentals remain intact.

10-Year Treasury Yields Hit Cycle High; NZD Pressured by RBNZ; US Job Openings Beat Expectations

The main focus for yields right now, in the short-term at least, remains on the very important incoming US data like the ADP employment report, ISM services PMI, and Friday’s non-farm payrolls report.

RBA Keeps Rates On Hold, Gold Hits 7-Month Low, Swiss CPI Softer Than Expected

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept rates on hold at 4.1% during today’s Asia-Pacific session, as expected. The bank also left the door open to more hikes if necessary. However, the market reaction was a tad surprising, with the AUD seeing a chunky move lower despite no surprises from the bank.

Big data week for the US

The past week was a tumultuous one for the capital markets, with bond yields surging, stocks falling, and the dollar gaining strength.

Gold struggles but a bid could be nearing

The other asset to watch is gold as a big miss in the data could give gold a decent nudge higher if both the USD and yields pull back a bit. Just take note momentum on gold is firmly to the downside so adjusting risk accordingly is important.

Yields take a breather, Equities moving higher

Sentiment recovers slightly as yields take a breather. Equities bounce, but VIX above 200DMA keeps markets cautious

Inflation in focus for EUR

The past week was a whirlwind of monetary decisions, punctuated by announcements from nine central banks, surrounded by early-week CPI results and concluding with Friday’s PMIs.

Nasdaq sits at Major support

quities remain under pressure, with futures like the ES, NQ, and STOXX50 testing major support levels. A break and close below these levels could open up more selling pressure.

Pound Struggles after CPI Data release

The GBP has struggled in early European trade after the latest batch of UK CPI data printed much lower than what markets had anticipated.

10Y Yields close to cycle highs

The DXY remains stuck near the 105 psychological level as markets are eagerly awaiting tomorrow’s FOMC policy decision. On a positioning basis, the USD has been looking a bit stretched looking back over the last 52 weeks with institutional long positions looking a bit on the stretched side.

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